An Intelligent Hybrid Model for Bus Load Forecasting in Electrical Short-Term Operation Tasks
نویسندگان
چکیده
The main objective of this chapter is to present a hybrid model for bus load forecasting. This approach represents an essential tool for the operation of the electrical power system and the hybrid model combines a bus clustering process and a load forecasting model. As a case study, the model was applied to the real Brazilian electrical system, and the results revealed a performance similar to that of conventional models for bus load forecasting, but about 14 times faster. The results are compatible with the safe operating load levels for the Brazilian electrical power system and have proved to be adequate for use in real operation tasks. DOI: 10.4018/978-1-4666-0294-6.ch023
منابع مشابه
Application of an Improved Neural Network Using Cuckoo Search Algorithm in Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting under Competitive Power Markets
Accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. However, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...
متن کاملEfficient Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks
Short term load forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in the economic and reliable operation ofpower systems. Electric load demand has a complex profile with many multivariable and nonlineardependencies. In this study, recurrent neural network (RNN) architecture is presented for STLF. Theproposed model is capable of forecasting next 24-hour load profile. The main feature in this networkis ...
متن کاملShort term electric load prediction based on deep neural network and wavelet transform and input selection
Electricity demand forecasting is one of the most important factors in the planning, design, and operation of competitive electrical systems. However, most of the load forecasting methods are not accurate. Therefore, in order to increase the accuracy of the short-term electrical load forecast, this paper proposes a hybrid method for predicting electric load based on a deep neural network with a...
متن کاملDifferent Methods of Long-Term Electric Load Demand Forecasting a Comprehensive Review
Long-term demand forecasting presents the first step in planning and developing future generation, transmission and distribution facilities. One of the primary tasks of an electric utility accurately predicts load demand requirements at all times, especially for long-term. Based on the outcome of such forecasts, utilities coordinate their resources to meet the forecasted demand using a least-co...
متن کاملA new Stochastic Hybrid Technique for DER Problem
This paper presents a new Hybrid Particle Swarm optimization with Time Varying Acceleration Coefficients (HPSOTVAC) and Bacteria Foraging Algorithm (BFA) namely (PSOTVAC/BFA) base fuzzy stochastic long term approach for determining optimum location and size of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). The Monte Carlo simulation method is used to model the uncertainties associated with long-term load...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2016